Donald Trump has initiated his promised efforts to end the Ukraine war, reportedly engaging in a discreet phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin last week. Though the Kremlin has denied such a conversation, sources allege that Trump made four key points:

1. De-escalation plea: Trump encouraged Putin to avoid further military escalation in Ukraine.
2. Acknowledgment of U.S. strength: He highlighted America’s military presence in Europe.
3. Push for peace talks: Advocated for renewed negotiations to resolve the conflict.
4. Territorial compromise: Discussed the possibility of Ukraine ceding land for peace.

Putin’s public praise of Trump as a “manly leader” has fueled speculation about a potential thaw in relations. However, whether these efforts will lead to a ceasefire remains uncertain.

A Controversial Peace Plan

Trump’s proposed framework reportedly includes:

• Freezing the current battle lines: Stopping further advances from both sides.
• Creating a European-monitored buffer zone: A 1,200-kilometer demilitarized area overseen by European forces, excluding U.S. troops.
• Abandoning NATO aspirations: Ukraine would renounce its NATO membership ambitions in return for security guarantees.

This plan, while a starting point for peace, faces skepticism:

• Would Ukraine accept territorial losses?
• Can European nations enforce such a buffer zone?
• Would Russia tolerate a heavily armed Ukraine?

Biden’s Limited Options

President Joe Biden, in his final days in office, has few remaining avenues to bolster Ukraine. Reports indicate he plans to meet Trump in a bid to influence his approach, though convincing Trump to maintain strong U.S. support for Ukraine is unlikely.

Alternatively, Biden could pursue emergency measures, such as reallocating frozen Russian assets to Ukraine or lifting restrictions on targeting Russian soil. Yet, with a Republican-controlled Congress looming, Biden’s leverage is rapidly waning.

Ukraine’s Dilemma

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky faces a dire choice:

1. Accept Trump’s deal: This would secure peace but at the cost of territorial concessions.
2. Rely on European allies: Continue the fight with diminished U.S. support and uncertain European aid.

Either path presents significant risks for Ukraine, leaving Russia in a stronger position to capitalize on Western divisions.